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Planning
a local network should take account of possible technical
and other developments. The advisors to the community should
provide a continuing assessment of the possible changes in
technology, policy, and local conditions that might affect
the options that they consider.
This
can be done in a way which involves the key interests. One
example is work that members of the Making the Net Work team
have done with the Royal Institute for Chartered Surveyors
Research Foundation.
In
this exercise participants invented a town and were then briefed
on possible technology developments. They then considered
the changes this could bring.
Below
is a summary of the briefing prepared by futurologist David
Greenop, and David Wilcox. For more information on this technique
mail David Wilcox <david@makingthenetwork.org>
Technology
driven changes
Below
are some of the likely short and medium term technological
developments that could affect our towns and cities. The possible
positive changes have been summarised by William Mitchell,
author of 'E-topia' as:
- Dematerialisation.
Commerce, government, leisure become more virtual as activities
move online.
- Demobilisation.
Journeys to work and other places can be replaced by online
interaction.
- Mass
customisation. Products and services can be tailored to
individual needs.
- Intelligent
operation. Our homes, workplaces, towns and cities can be
more effectively managed.
- Soft
transformation. Changes brought to our urban fabric can
be less destructive than those of earlier revolutions.
It
is possible, of course, to argue that benefit will be limited
to the better off - just as clean water, sanitation, good
roads, power and telephones reached the rich first. That is
one of the challenges for central and local government.
Always
connected
More
information, more networking
.. on the move, at home
and at work. Greater connectivity will give people more knowledge,
control and purchasing capability wherever they are.
- Always
on Internet: 'always on, always connected' Internet
available via mobile phones.
- Electronic
purses: micro-payments made possible by mobile phone
and smart credit cards.
- Positioning
and guidance by mobile phone: you know where
you - and others - are, and where to go.
- Home
networks will link digital devices, and 'smart' appliances
will be online for service monitoring
- Personal
knowledge all the time, through software agents, mobile
phones and PDAs, linked to home networks.
- 3D
representation of the town available online
Working
and shopping everywhere
For
many, the distinction between work and personal activities
will reduce still further. New skills will constantly be needed
.
education will become increasingly work related. Shopping
patterns and places will change.
- Live/work
homes. Home will be an extension or alternative to the
office for many.
- Live/work
neighbourhoods. Shared workspaces and social spaces
will proliferate.
- Learning
online. Formal and informal learning opportunities will
increase as courses are available everywhere.
- Distributed
employment. More people will work for several employers,
online, and form virtual teams.
- Online
shopping and local delivery will increase, with neighbourhood
collection points.
Health,
Leisure and friendship online
Hobbies,
sport and DIY interests will be targeted by commercial interests
offer online services and networks. Technology may focus personal
activities - yet also expand contacts. People will still want
to meet.
- New
health monitoring technology will offer those who can
afford it constant personal health checks
- Hobby
nets will develop for people with shared interest and
DIY activities.
- Virtual
friendships will develop into real relationships as
people meet online - then offline.
- Local
lifestyle shopping will be more recreational through
increased home delivery.
Smarter
towns - or big brother rules?
Wealth
and employment remains concentrated in cities. Pressure for
rural housing - and car usage - increases. Technology is deployed
to enhance public services and management.
- Surveillance
and tracking of people, vehicles and all activities
increases.
- Cars
online. Cars are more like homes and offices, with improved
navigation devices.
- Smarter
public transport. Bus and taxi services converge to
become more available on-demand.
- Places
online. Physical places are represented virtually, for
management and marketing.
- Enhanced
urban management. Traffic, pollution etc can be monitored
and managed.
Empowered
citizenship, more effective partnerships
New
technologies offer the prospect of more effective and transparent
government.
- Neighbourhoods
online. All neighbourhoods have libraries online or
centres to ensure public access and learning.
- Government
online. Community information and services are online
for home and neighbourhood access.
- More
local government. Teleworking and intranets will enable
government to decentralise operations.
- Electronic
democracy becomes possible through participation and
voting, with access to officials and councillors.
- Partnerships
online. The many local public, private, community partnerships
have intranets for effective working
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