|
Planning
a local network should take account of possible technical
and other developments. The advisors to the community
should provide a continuing assessment of the possible
changes in technology, policy, and local conditions
that might affect the options that they consider.
This
can be done in a way which involves the key interests.
One example is work that members of the Making the Net
Work team have done with the Royal Institute for Chartered
Surveyors Research Foundation.
In
this exercise participants invented a town and were
then briefed on possible technology developments. They
then considered the changes this could bring.
Below
is a summary of the briefing prepared by futurologist
David Greenop, and David Wilcox. For more information
on this technique mail David Wilcox <david@makingthenetwork.org>
Technology
driven changes
Below
are some of the likely short and medium term technological
developments that could affect our towns and cities.
The possible positive changes have been summarised by
William Mitchell, author of 'E-topia' as:
- Dematerialisation.
Commerce, government, leisure become more virtual
as activities move online.
- Demobilisation.
Journeys to work and other places can be replaced
by online interaction.
- Mass
customisation. Products and services can be tailored
to individual needs.
- Intelligent
operation. Our homes, workplaces, towns and cities
can be more effectively managed.
- Soft
transformation. Changes brought to our urban fabric
can be less destructive than those of earlier revolutions.
It
is possible, of course, to argue that benefit will be
limited to the better off - just as clean water, sanitation,
good roads, power and telephones reached the rich first.
That is one of the challenges for central and local
government.
Always
connected
More
information, more networking
.. on the move, at
home and at work. Greater connectivity will give people
more knowledge, control and purchasing capability wherever
they are.
- Always
on Internet: 'always on, always connected' Internet
available via mobile phones.
- Electronic
purses: micro-payments made possible by mobile
phone and smart credit cards.
- Positioning
and guidance by mobile phone: you know
where you - and others - are, and where to go.
- Home
networks will link digital devices, and 'smart'
appliances will be online for service monitoring
- Personal
knowledge all the time, through software agents,
mobile phones and PDAs, linked to home networks.
- 3D
representation of the town available online
Working
and shopping everywhere
For
many, the distinction between work and personal activities
will reduce still further. New skills will constantly
be needed
. education will become increasingly
work related. Shopping patterns and places will change.
- Live/work
homes. Home will be an extension or alternative
to the office for many.
- Live/work
neighbourhoods. Shared workspaces and social spaces
will proliferate.
- Learning
online. Formal and informal learning opportunities
will increase as courses are available everywhere.
- Distributed
employment. More people will work for several
employers, online, and form virtual teams.
- Online
shopping and local delivery will increase, with
neighbourhood collection points.
Health,
Leisure and friendship online
Hobbies,
sport and DIY interests will be targeted by commercial
interests offer online services and networks. Technology
may focus personal activities - yet also expand contacts.
People will still want to meet.
- New
health monitoring technology will offer those
who can afford it constant personal health checks
- Hobby
nets will develop for people with shared interest
and DIY activities.
- Virtual
friendships will develop into real relationships
as people meet online - then offline.
- Local
lifestyle shopping will be more recreational through
increased home delivery.
Smarter
towns - or big brother rules?
Wealth
and employment remains concentrated in cities. Pressure
for rural housing - and car usage - increases. Technology
is deployed to enhance public services and management.
- Surveillance
and tracking of people, vehicles and all activities
increases.
- Cars
online. Cars are more like homes and offices,
with improved navigation devices.
- Smarter
public transport. Bus and taxi services converge
to become more available on-demand.
- Places
online. Physical places are represented virtually,
for management and marketing.
- Enhanced
urban management. Traffic, pollution etc can be
monitored and managed.
Empowered
citizenship, more effective partnerships
New
technologies offer the prospect of more effective and
transparent government.
- Neighbourhoods
online. All neighbourhoods have libraries online
or centres to ensure public access and learning.
- Government
online. Community information and services are
online for home and neighbourhood access.
- More
local government. Teleworking and intranets will
enable government to decentralise operations.
- Electronic
democracy becomes possible through participation
and voting, with access to officials and councillors.
- Partnerships
online. The many local public, private, community
partnerships have intranets for effective working
|